Buffet on Long dated options
Via Berkshire Hathaway 2008 Report :
The Black-Scholes formula has approached the status of holy writ in finance, and we use it when valuing our equity put options for financial statement purposes. Key inputs to the calculation include a contract’s maturity and strike price, as well as the analyst’s expectations for volatility, interest rates and dividends.If the formula is applied to extended time periods, however, it can produce absurd results.