Financial Calculus : Review
The book begins with a brief note that highlights the difference between “expectation pricing” and “arbitrage pricing”. It gives an example of a bookmaker, someone who takes bets on horses. The bookmaker can always stay in the business by setting up odds based on the money at stake, rather than based on actual probabilities. If the book maker does a statistical analysis of horse performances,track conditions, historical data, etc.. and then sets the odds, there is always a possibility of a huge loss and getting wiped out.