WHY

NYT article says : _The F.T.C. said that beginning on Dec. 1, bloggers who review products must disclose any connection with advertisers, including, in most cases, the receipt of free products and whether or not they were paid in any way by advertisers, as occurs frequently. The new rules also take aim at celebrities, who will now need to disclose any ties to companies, should they promote products on a talk show or on Twitter.

rnorm(25) thoughts on Asset Allocation

My random thoughts/questions about portfolio optimization , some of which got answered based on the work I had been doing in the last 2-3 weeks. Some remain unanswered!. Is efficient allocation a myth ? Abnormal Returns If multivariate gaussian is a theoretical approximation in the classic mv optimization, will a multivariate t suffice ? what multivariate distribution should one assume in computing portfolio risk and return ? To what extent robust estimators (mcd, shrink estimators) are useful in minimizing time varying nature of efficient frontier?

Why average is not a better estimate

Charles Stein stunned the statistician community when he first published a paper which showed that average of past events is not the best predictor of future event. Here is the original article which uses baseball stats to give an insight in to the paradox – Paradox in Statistics

Box Percentile Plot

This is a new addition to my diagnostic tool kit. I had never used Box Percentile plot before. However this week, I had to look at outliers in a data. Histograms are not that good for outliers. Box Plots, same story(though whiskers in the box plot are useful in getting an idea about the data points 1.5 IQR away from the boxes). I usually prefer Box plots for the simple reason that it gives a sense of the data from a quartiles perspective.